SABR Playoff Odds
Based on 5,000 sims of remaining season using log5 with xW%, ties broken randomly.
Team W L MaxW MaxL AvgW AvgL 1st % Div % PO % Last % rxSoS rSoS
Baltimore
BAL
 70 50 106 80 92.8 69.2 0.1% 33.2% 41.4% 0.0% 0.535 0.525
Boston
BOS
 68 51 103 81 91.6 70.4 0.0% 21.1% 27.7% 0.0% 0.518 0.506
New York
NYY
 68 51 103 83 91.0 71.0 0.0% 16.7% 22.5% 0.0% 0.538 0.539
Tampa Bay
TB
 59 62 93 92 80.3 81.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.516 0.514
Toronto
TOR
 68 50 103 84 92.3 69.7 0.0% 29.0% 36.4% 0.0% 0.511 0.484
Chicago
CWS
 57 62 91 94 78.8 83.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.526 0.528
Cleveland
CLE
 68 52 102 83 90.2 71.8 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 0.0% 0.506 0.489
Detroit
DET
 77 41 115 70 104.2 57.8 44.4% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.483 0.462
Kansas City
KC
 7 113 28 155 16.0 146.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.520 0.518
Minnesota
MIN
 43 76 73 113 61.3 100.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.488 0.475
Houston
HOU
 27 93 50 132 39.7 122.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.552 0.570
Los Angeles
LAA
 76 43 113 70 102.7 59.3 23.1% 79.8% 99.8% 0.0% 0.464 0.450
Oakland
OAK
 73 47 107 78 95.3 66.7 0.3% 4.0% 70.2% 0.0% 0.505 0.492
Seattle
SEA
 61 57 95 91 82.0 80.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.504 0.497
Texas
TEX
 74 45 110 75 98.3 63.7 2.8% 16.3% 92.1% 0.0% 0.505 0.503
Atlanta
ATL
 51 68 82 102 70.9 91.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.523 0.515
Miami
MIA
 61 58 96 88 84.8 77.2 0.0% 11.4% 14.4% 0.0% 0.482 0.469
New York
NYM
 67 52 101 84 90.6 71.4 0.0% 87.8% 88.5% 0.0% 0.501 0.483
Philadelphia
PHI
 58 62 92 94 79.0 83.0 0.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.511 0.509
Washington
WAS
 57 63 91 94 78.4 83.6 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.494 0.479
Chicago
CHC
 53 66 86 100 71.9 90.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.506 0.497
Cincinnati
CIN
 75 44 109 75 98.7 63.3 3.4% 20.9% 99.8% 0.0% 0.496 0.482
Milwaukee
MIL
 40 81 68 114 56.7 105.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.487 0.484
Pittsburgh
PIT
 46 73 79 108 64.9 97.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.498 0.489
St. Louis
STL
 78 41 115 72 102.7 59.3 25.5% 79.1% 100.0% 0.0% 0.526 0.534
Arizona
ARI
 46 71 74 109 63.1 98.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.527 0.527
Colorado
COL
 70 49 104 82 92.5 69.5 0.0% 23.1% 93.3% 0.0% 0.524 0.511
Los Angeles
LAD
 58 61 91 94 78.9 83.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.511 0.501
San Diego
SD
 61 58 96 89 84.2 77.8 0.0% 0.2% 3.8% 0.0% 0.501 0.495
San Francisco
SF
 71 48 107 77 96.1 65.9 0.4% 76.7% 99.2% 0.0% 0.514 0.503